Espinho vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 4
ESP
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
0 - 0
SIN
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
3 - 1
SPO
90%
8%
2%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PED
1 - 0
ESP
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CIN
0 - 0
ESP
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 1
CIN
75%
17%
8%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 1
LUS
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 2
LUS
48%
26%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
LUS
3 - 2
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LUS
2 - 4
BMA
18%
23%
58%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |