Espinho vs Lusitânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 0
CIN
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 0
ESP
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
4 - 0
ESP
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 1
TOU
76%
17%
8%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
ESP
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
OPE
3 - 2
LUS
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 1
CES
43%
24%
34%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ANA
1 - 0
LUS
63%
21%
16%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 2
SAO
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ACV
5 - 1
LUS
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | -1 |