Espinho vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ESP
4 - 1
PON
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 27 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
ESP
1 - 5
FCM
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +8 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
CHA
2 - 0
ESP
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ESP
1 - 0
FEL
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
ALV
3 - 0
ESP
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
LEX
3 - 4
VAR
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
LEX
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 0
LEX
38%
30%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2010 |
LEX
2 - 1
PEN
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
BEL
0 - 0
LEX
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |