Espinho vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.9%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
29.2%
53.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
19.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
ESP
1 - 0
SAL
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
BOA
0 - 0
ESP
67%
22%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
VAR
3 - 1
ESP
59%
26%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
ESP
0 - 0
PEN
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1984 |
FAR
3 - 0
ESP
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
TOR
0 - 1
FCP
26%
28%
47%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
FCP
6 - 0
RDA
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
SAL
0 - 0
FCP
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
FCP
2 - 0
BEL
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
EST
0 - 0
FCP
15%
28%
57%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |