Espinho vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
GFC
1 - 2
ESP
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1992 |
SPB
2 - 2
ESP
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
ESP
1 - 0
FAM
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
SLB
6 - 0
ESP
77%
17%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 1992 |
ESP
0 - 0
CHA
53%
23%
25%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
FAR
1 - 0
SPB
56%
26%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1992 |
FAM
1 - 0
FAR
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
FAR
2 - 0
SAL
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1992 |
FAR
1 - 0
UNM
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1992 |
TOR
1 - 1
FAR
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |