Espinho vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
MAR
1 - 1
ESP
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
ESP
1 - 0
ACV
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
POR
0 - 0
ESP
54%
28%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1988 |
ESP
1 - 2
VIT
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
ESP
1 - 1
FAF
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
FAR
0 - 0
PEN
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
BOA
1 - 1
FAR
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
FAR
1 - 0
SCP
17%
26%
58%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1988 |
EST
1 - 0
FAR
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
FAR
2 - 1
VST
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |