Espinho vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
PEN
2 - 0
ESP
45%
30%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
ESP
2 - 2
BOA
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1988 |
SCP
3 - 1
ESP
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
ESP
2 - 1
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
VST
2 - 1
ESP
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
FAF
0 - 0
LEX
44%
28%
29%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
NAC
2 - 0
FAF
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1988 |
MAR
3 - 0
FAF
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
PEN
1 - 0
FAF
51%
28%
21%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1988 |
FAF
0 - 0
FCP
9%
20%
71%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |