Espinho vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1993 |
MAR
2 - 1
ESP
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
ESP
1 - 3
BMA
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
VIT
3 - 1
ESP
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
ESP
2 - 2
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
FCP
1 - 0
ESP
75%
17%
9%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1993 |
EST
0 - 0
SPB
46%
29%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
FAM
1 - 2
EST
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
EST
1 - 0
SAL
45%
29%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
TIR
1 - 0
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
EST
0 - 0
PAÇ
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |