Espinho vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
22.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1983 |
SAL
1 - 0
ESP
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
ESP
2 - 1
VST
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
BOA
2 - 0
ESP
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
ESP
1 - 0
VAR
48%
29%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
ESP
4 - 1
SPB
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1983 |
EST
2 - 0
SPB
37%
30%
34%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
SCP
3 - 0
EST
79%
15%
7%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
EST
1 - 1
POR
42%
31%
27%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
GDA
3 - 1
EST
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
EST
3 - 0
AMO
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |