Espinho vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
VST
1 - 1
ESP
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 0
SPB
33%
28%
40%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
ACA
2 - 0
ESP
71%
19%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 5
SLB
9%
18%
73%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1978 |
ESP
0 - 1
BOA
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
EST
0 - 1
BOA
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 0
EST
62%
23%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
EST
1 - 0
VIT
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
BEL
0 - 0
EST
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1978 |
EST
1 - 2
SCP
15%
24%
61%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |