Espinho vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
71.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 1
ESP
10%
21%
69%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ESP
0 - 1
ANA
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ESP
3 - 1
COI
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 0
ESP
20%
25%
56%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ESP
4 - 0
LUS
78%
16%
6%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
VIZ
1 - 1
CHA
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
COV
64%
23%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
BEN
3 - 4
CHA
43%
26%
32%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
VAR
51%
26%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +2 |