Espinho vs Castro Daire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
LEC
2 - 1
ESP
55%
26%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 1
ALV
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
GOU
0 - 1
ESP
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 0
COI
8%
23%
68%
|
39 | 72 | 33 | +3 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 0
ESP
34%
24%
41%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
GOU
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
COI
13%
26%
61%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
FAV
0 - 3
CAS
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
VAL
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 1
CAS
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |