Espinho vs Castro Daire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.3%
3.6%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 2
ESP
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 0
NAC
5%
11%
84%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 1
PED
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
GIN
1 - 1
ESP
6%
14%
79%
|
48 | 13 | 35 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 0
CAS
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 16 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 0
COI
7%
15%
78%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
VAL
2 - 0
CAS
76%
14%
9%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 4
LUS
8%
15%
78%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 0
CAS
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 1
GIN
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |