Espinho vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
72.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1978 |
ESP
0 - 1
BOA
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
POR
2 - 0
ESP
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 0
ESP
53%
25%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
VAR
2 - 1
ESP
66%
21%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 1
VIT
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
SLB
2 - 0
BOA
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1978 |
LIV
4 - 1
SLB
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 0
SLB
25%
27%
48%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLB
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1978 |
SLB
1 - 2
LIV
55%
25%
20%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |