Espinho vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAN
2 - 2
ESP
21%
25%
55%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ESP
0 - 0
AMA
72%
19%
9%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 3
ESP
11%
21%
68%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
COI
0 - 3
ESP
20%
25%
55%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 1
VIL
31%
27%
43%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ARO
1 - 0
VIL
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 0
ARO
7%
19%
74%
|
59 | 22 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ARO
3 - 0
LEC
76%
17%
7%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
GIN
0 - 2
ARO
7%
19%
74%
|
59 | 19 | 40 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ARO
1 - 0
MER
78%
16%
6%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | -1 |