Espinho vs Santa Cruz de Alvarenga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
GON
1 - 1
ESP
43%
27%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 1
ESP
19%
24%
57%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ESP
2 - 0
GOU
80%
14%
7%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
COI
0 - 5
ESP
73%
19%
8%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | +4 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ESP
0 - 0
FAV
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz de Alvarenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 1
VAL
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ALV
2 - 2
GON
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 1
ESP
19%
24%
57%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
COI
1 - 0
ALV
78%
16%
6%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 1
CAS
22%
22%
56%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |