Espinho vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
OLH
2 - 1
ESP
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 1
BEL
31%
30%
40%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1975 |
SCP
5 - 1
ESP
94%
5%
2%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 3
ORI
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
FAB
4 - 0
ESP
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
ACA
1 - 2
BOA
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
LEX
2 - 1
ACA
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
ACA
2 - 0
FAR
59%
25%
16%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
UFT
1 - 4
ACA
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
ACA
0 - 0
ATL
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |