El Espinar-San Rafael vs Real Sitio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.3%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.8%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
33.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Espinar-San Rafael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 1
ESR
18%
18%
64%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ESR
0 - 0
COC
49%
20%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 0
ESR
40%
21%
39%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ESR
2 - 3
CAR
57%
20%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 4
ESR
29%
20%
52%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sitio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
RSI
3 - 4
CAN
50%
21%
29%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
RSI
36%
22%
42%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 3
RSI
18%
17%
65%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
RSI
3 - 0
SPO
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 3
RSI
20%
19%
61%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |