El Espinar-San Rafael vs CD Coca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Espinar-San Rafael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 0
ESR
40%
21%
39%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ESR
2 - 3
CAR
57%
20%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 4
ESR
29%
20%
52%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ESR
9 - 2
SPO
93%
5%
2%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MOZ
1 - 0
ESR
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Coca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
COC
41%
21%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 1
COC
31%
21%
48%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COC
0 - 0
ASU
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 3
COC
38%
23%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
COC
3 - 2
CUE
66%
17%
17%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |