El Espinar-San Rafael vs CP Carbonero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Espinar-San Rafael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 4
ESR
29%
20%
52%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ESR
9 - 2
SPO
93%
5%
2%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MOZ
1 - 0
ESR
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ESR
4 - 2
VIL
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
UNA
2 - 3
ESR
21%
18%
61%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CP Carbonero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAN
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 3
COC
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 4
CAR
39%
22%
38%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
SPO
80%
14%
6%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MOZ
1 - 1
CAR
23%
23%
55%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |