Espigão vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
66.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espigão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2011 |
ARI
1 - 0
ESP
42%
24%
35%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
ARI
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 2
ESP
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 1
VIL
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2011 |
ARI
4 - 3
ESP
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PAY
0 - 3
FRA
77%
15%
9%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 0
PAY
29%
22%
49%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PAY
0 - 1
REC
75%
16%
10%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
IND
1 - 2
PAY
17%
20%
64%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAY
2 - 0
REM
56%
21%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |