Esperanza vs Jumilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 2
ESP
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 4
YEC
11%
19%
70%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 3
LOR
13%
20%
67%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
ESP
48%
25%
28%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 0
MSM
44%
24%
31%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
JUM
2 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MSM
0 - 1
JUM
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
JUM
2 - 1
ABA
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
JUM
83%
11%
5%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
JUM
1 - 2
PUL
35%
26%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |