Esperanza vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
67.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
ESP
48%
25%
28%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 0
MSM
44%
24%
31%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 0
ESP
38%
26%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 3
MAR
14%
22%
65%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PUL
4 - 1
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 0
BAL
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
LOR
14%
21%
66%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
4 - 2
AGU
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MSM
1 - 3
LOR
17%
21%
62%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 1
CIE
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |