Esperanza Pelt vs Wellen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
11º
14º
13º
6
5º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 58% |
|
Relegation
|
30.5% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza Pelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
WEZ
2 - 2
ESP
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 1
HOU
20%
23%
57%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 0
TON
32%
24%
44%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
1 - 0
ESP
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DIK
2 - 1
ESP
50%
24%
27%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Wellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HOU
4 - 1
WEL
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 0
BED
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +4 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WEZ
3 - 1
WEL
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 0
KVV
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NIL
6 - 1
WEL
41%
23%
37%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |