Esperanza Pelt vs Tongeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
11º
14º
13º
2
7º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5.5% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 69% |
|
Relegation
|
30.5% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza Pelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
1 - 0
ESP
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DIK
2 - 1
ESP
50%
24%
27%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BED
3 - 1
ESP
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 5
ESP
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
VVZ
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tongeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TON
1 - 2
RAC
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TON
0 - 1
KOS
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 2
TON
70%
16%
14%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TON
1 - 2
RUP
44%
25%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
RCL
0 - 0
TON
36%
25%
40%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |