Esperanza Pelt vs KFC Houtvenne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
11º
14º
13º
10
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 37% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5.5% | 46.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
30.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza Pelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 0
TON
32%
24%
44%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
1 - 0
ESP
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DIK
2 - 1
ESP
50%
24%
27%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BED
3 - 1
ESP
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 5
ESP
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
KFC Houtvenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
KSK
3 - 2
HOU
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
HOU
4 - 0
LIL
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EEN
2 - 3
HOU
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HOU
3 - 3
SPO
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NAM
1 - 3
HOU
29%
23%
48%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |