CAF Champions Last 16
Global 6-1
ES Tunis vs Zanaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
ESP
4 - 1
CAB
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
OLY
1 - 2
ESP
36%
31%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 0
USM
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
REN
1 - 2
ESP
12%
21%
67%
|
70 | 10 | 60 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 3
USM
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zanaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
ZAN
1 - 0
LIK
44%
24%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
LIK
0 - 0
ZAN
58%
21%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
POW
0 - 2
ZAN
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
ZAN
1 - 2
FOR
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2006 |
ZAN
4 - 0
KIT
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |