CAF Champions Final
Global 1-0
ES Tunis vs Wydad Casablanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
WYD
0 - 0
ESP
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 0
ALH
86%
10%
4%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ALH
0 - 1
ESP
16%
21%
63%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 1
ESP
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ESP
4 - 0
ALG
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Wydad Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
WYD
0 - 0
ESP
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
JSM
0 - 0
WYD
41%
30%
29%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
FUR
1 - 2
WYD
46%
29%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
WYD
1 - 0
MOG
54%
25%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ENY
0 - 0
WYD
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |