CAF Champions Last 16
Global 2-0
ES Tunis vs Primeiro de Agosto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 1
CLU
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 1
CAB
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PRI
0 - 1
ESP
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
JSK
0 - 2
ESP
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ODK
1 - 4
ESP
25%
28%
47%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Primeiro de Agosto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 0
PRI
30%
29%
41%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
BEN
0 - 1
PRI
38%
27%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PRI
0 - 1
ESP
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
PRI
1 - 0
REC
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PET
1 - 1
PRI
27%
29%
44%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |