ES Tunis vs Etoile Metlaoui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
27%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
4º
1º
9
5º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 5 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TAT
1 - 1
ESP
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 0
ASD
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 0
CSS
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ALS
0 - 0
ESP
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 2
ALI
32%
25%
44%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile Metlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ETO
1 - 0
TAT
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ETO
2 - 1
STA
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
ETO
23%
28%
49%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 0
CAB
44%
30%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
ASS
2 - 0
ETO
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |