ES Tunis vs EGS Gafsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
STA
2 - 3
ESP
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ESP
3 - 0
JEN
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
ESH
2 - 1
ESP
40%
30%
30%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
ESP
3 - 1
CSS
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2008 |
ETO
1 - 0
ESP
51%
27%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
EGS
1 - 4
ETO
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
EGS
1 - 0
STA
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
JEN
0 - 0
EGS
37%
30%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
EGS
2 - 2
ESH
66%
22%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2008 |
CSS
0 - 1
EGS
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |