CAF Champions Last 16
Global 4-2
ES Tunis vs Brikama United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 0
ASD
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BRI
1 - 1
ESP
31%
26%
44%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CSH
0 - 2
ESP
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
JSK
0 - 2
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 1
OLY
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brikama United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
STE
3 - 0
BRI
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BRI
1 - 1
ESP
31%
26%
44%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 0
WAL
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ARM
1 - 1
BRI
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
BRI
1 - 2
SAM
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |