Arab Club Champions Cup 1/16
Global 0-0
ES Tunis vs Al Ahli Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
17%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 0
OLY
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
ESP
6 - 0
EGS
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
STA
2 - 3
ESP
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ESP
3 - 0
JEN
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
ESH
2 - 1
ESP
40%
30%
30%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
ALS
1 - 1
TRI
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
TRI
2 - 2
AAB
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2008 |
ATB
1 - 0
TRI
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
TRI
4 - 1
ALA
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2008 |
AAB
1 - 1
TRI
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |