Esperança de Lagos vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperança de Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
EDL
1 - 1
AMO
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
SAC
1 - 3
EDL
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
EDL
2 - 2
ALV
19%
25%
57%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
OLI
3 - 2
EDL
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
EDL
2 - 1
SFU
64%
19%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ARM
2 - 2
FAB
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
FAB
1 - 0
OLI
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
REA
2 - 0
FAB
88%
10%
3%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
FAB
1 - 3
SIN
26%
24%
50%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
ORI
1 - 0
FAB
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |