Esperança d'Andorra vs FC Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
10º
8º
58
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 50.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperança d'Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UES
2 - 0
ESA
63%
21%
15%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 3
ATL
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AME
6 - 3
ESA
49%
22%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 0
PAC
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SCO
6 - 1
ESA
65%
22%
13%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
FC Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SCO
4 - 2
AME
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
INT
1 - 2
SCO
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SCO
0 - 1
INT
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SCO
3 - 0
AME
78%
16%
7%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SCO
6 - 1
ESA
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |