Esperança d'Andorra vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
60%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
10º
8º
44
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperança d'Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ESA
0 - 2
CAR
42%
23%
35%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 1
ESA
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ESA
0 - 2
INT
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCO
4 - 0
ESA
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ESA
0 - 5
SCO
23%
26%
51%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 2
UES
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
PEN
22%
21%
57%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
ATL
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
INT
4 - 2
PEN
61%
21%
17%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
FCO
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |