Esperança d'Andorra vs Pas de la Casa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
51.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
10º
8º
17
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperança d'Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SCO
6 - 1
ESA
65%
22%
13%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
UES
6 - 0
ESA
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 5
ATL
21%
22%
57%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 4
ESA
65%
19%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 2
AME
36%
23%
40%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pas de la Casa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
UES
0 - 0
PAC
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 2
CAR
59%
20%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
INT
2 - 0
PAC
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 2
AME
64%
18%
17%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SCO
3 - 2
PAC
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |