Esperança d'Andorra vs Carroi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
10º
8º
12
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 9% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperança d'Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 1
ESA
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ESA
0 - 2
INT
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCO
4 - 0
ESA
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ESA
0 - 5
SCO
23%
26%
51%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PAC
3 - 2
ESA
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Carroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
PEN
22%
21%
57%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UES
3 - 0
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
8 - 1
CAR
70%
19%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 6
INT
10%
19%
71%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FCO
4 - 0
CAR
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |