Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 5-3
Espanyol vs Zorya Luhansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ESP
0 - 2
SEV
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
ESP
3 - 0
FCL
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
FCL
0 - 3
ESP
28%
26%
46%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
STJ
1 - 3
ESP
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SHW
2 - 2
ESP
24%
25%
52%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ZOR
1 - 2
PFC
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
ZOR
1 - 0
CSK
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
KOL
1 - 3
ZOR
26%
28%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
CSK
1 - 1
ZOR
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
ZOR
1 - 1
SKD
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |