Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-4
Espanyol vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
25%
24%
52%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
RSO
0 - 1
ESP
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1962 |
VAD
3 - 3
ESP
64%
19%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
ESP
0 - 1
SEV
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
RAC
1 - 3
ESP
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
PON
1 - 2
VAD
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
VAD
0 - 0
CDO
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1962 |
VAD
3 - 3
ESP
64%
19%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
DEP
2 - 0
VAD
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
SPO
1 - 1
VAD
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |