Espanyol vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
13%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
RAC
2 - 1
ESP
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
ESP
1 - 2
RJA
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
ATH
0 - 0
ESP
79%
12%
9%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
ESP
1 - 1
RSO
71%
16%
14%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
OSA
2 - 3
ESP
33%
23%
43%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
RJA
4 - 2
VAD
45%
22%
32%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
VAD
2 - 0
RSO
53%
22%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
ATM
1 - 2
VAD
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
VAD
2 - 2
FCB
26%
23%
51%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
SEV
3 - 1
VAD
75%
14%
11%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |