Espanyol vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
41%
23%
35%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
SAB
2 - 0
ESP
38%
23%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
ESP
1 - 1
ALC
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
GIM
4 - 1
ESP
45%
22%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
ESP
4 - 1
DEP
73%
16%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
SEV
0 - 2
VCF
59%
20%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
VCF
6 - 2
VAD
80%
11%
8%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
ATH
3 - 2
VCF
63%
18%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
VCF
4 - 3
ATM
62%
19%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
CEL
4 - 2
VCF
56%
20%
24%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |