Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 0-1
Espanyol vs Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
UDL
4 - 2
ESP
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
UDL
1 - 0
ESP
63%
19%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 1
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1977 |
ESP
0 - 0
DEP
85%
10%
5%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
RAC
4 - 0
ESP
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
UDL
4 - 2
ESP
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
UDL
1 - 0
ESP
63%
19%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
SEV
1 - 0
UDL
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1977 |
UDL
4 - 1
MAL
82%
12%
7%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
UDL
0 - 0
SLA
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |