Espanyol vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
ESP
2 - 0
VIL
90%
7%
3%
|
80 | 38 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
BUR
3 - 2
ESP
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
ESP
1 - 4
RMA
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
VIL
0 - 1
ESP
14%
21%
65%
|
81 | 37 | 44 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
ESP
2 - 1
ATH
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1977 |
SPO
5 - 1
VIN
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
SPO
1 - 0
SEV
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
SLA
2 - 3
SPO
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
VIN
3 - 2
SPO
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
SPO
0 - 0
UDL
53%
24%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |