Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 7-8
Espanyol vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
17.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1954 |
SEV
4 - 0
ESP
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
ESP
2 - 1
ATM
66%
17%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
ATM
1 - 3
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
ESP
2 - 1
RMA
47%
22%
32%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
FCB
1 - 4
ESP
87%
9%
5%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1954 |
SEV
4 - 0
ESP
70%
16%
14%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
SEV
2 - 0
CEL
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
CEL
1 - 1
SEV
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
RSO
3 - 2
SEV
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
SEV
2 - 1
ATM
63%
18%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |