Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Espanyol vs SD Compostela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
OVI
1 - 0
ESP
34%
28%
38%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2000 |
CEL
0 - 1
ESP
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
VCF
1 - 2
ESP
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2000 |
ESP
2 - 1
CEL
40%
28%
32%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SD Compostela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
COM
1 - 1
ATB
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2000 |
VIL
3 - 0
COM
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
MER
0 - 1
COM
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
COM
0 - 0
CDT
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2000 |
COM
3 - 0
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |