Europa League 1/16
Global 1-5
Espanyol vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
VIL
4 - 0
ESP
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
S04
2 - 1
ESP
55%
25%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ESP
0 - 2
RAC
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2006 |
ESP
2 - 1
DEP
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
RMA
4 - 0
ESP
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
HER
1 - 2
S04
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
S04
2 - 1
ESP
55%
25%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
S04
7 - 4
LEV
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
MON
0 - 0
S04
27%
27%
46%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
S04
0 - 0
BVB
51%
25%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |