Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-3
Espanyol vs CE Sabadell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
GRA
4 - 0
ESP
34%
22%
44%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
ESP
8 - 0
RSO
81%
11%
8%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
VCF
2 - 1
ESP
71%
15%
14%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
ESP
0 - 0
RMA
46%
23%
32%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
CEL
4 - 3
ESP
51%
21%
28%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CE Sabadell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
SAB
3 - 3
ZAR
47%
23%
31%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
SPO
3 - 3
SAB
71%
15%
13%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
SLA
1 - 1
SAB
50%
22%
29%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
SAB
2 - 0
MUR
51%
21%
28%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
BET
4 - 2
SAB
73%
16%
12%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |