Espanyol vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1987 |
SPO
0 - 1
ESP
52%
24%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
ESP
3 - 1
UDL
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
MUR
1 - 4
ESP
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1986 |
ESP
2 - 1
ATM
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
RMA
1 - 0
ESP
77%
15%
9%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
ZAR
2 - 2
RMA
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
VAD
1 - 1
ZAR
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
ZAR
0 - 0
ATH
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1986 |
SEV
3 - 0
ZAR
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
SAB
1 - 0
ZAR
32%
27%
40%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |