Espanyol vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
BUR
1 - 2
ESP
42%
28%
31%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
ESP
2 - 1
BET
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
BET
3 - 1
ESP
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
ESP
3 - 1
OVI
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
RAC
1 - 1
ESP
46%
27%
28%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
ZAR
1 - 1
RSO
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1976 |
ATM
1 - 0
ZAR
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1976 |
BET
1 - 1
ZAR
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
ZAR
2 - 1
BET
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1976 |
ZAR
2 - 0
CDT
86%
9%
5%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |